Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000116 0.000128 0.000142 0.000158 0.000175 0.000194 0.000215
2025-11-09 0.000097 0.000114 0.000133 0.000157 0.000184 0.000217 0.000256
2025-11-16 0.000082 0.000102 0.000125 0.000154 0.000192 0.000236 0.000295
2025-11-23 0.000072 0.000093 0.000119 0.000154 0.000199 0.000257 0.000337
2025-11-30 0.000064 0.000086 0.000114 0.000154 0.000208 0.000279 0.000382
2025-12-07 0.000057 0.000079 0.000109 0.000152 0.000213 0.000297 0.000423
2025-12-14 0.000052 0.000075 0.000107 0.000154 0.000224 0.000324 0.000477
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000071 0.000104 0.000155 0.000232 0.000346 0.000528
2025-12-28 0.000044 0.000067 0.000101 0.000154 0.000238 0.000365 0.000575
2026-01-04 0.000041 0.000064 0.000099 0.000157 0.000248 0.000392 0.000637
2026-01-11 0.000039 0.000062 0.000097 0.000157 0.000256 0.000414 0.000692
2026-01-18 0.000036 0.000059 0.000095 0.000157 0.000262 0.000435 0.000747
2026-01-25 0.000033 0.000055 0.000092 0.000155 0.000266 0.000454 0.000801
2026-02-01 0.000031 0.000053 0.000090 0.000155 0.000273 0.000477 0.000865
2026-02-08 0.000029 0.000050 0.000087 0.000154 0.000276 0.000495 0.000922
2026-02-15 0.000027 0.000048 0.000084 0.000153 0.000282 0.000517 0.000987
2026-02-22 0.000025 0.000046 0.000083 0.000154 0.000289 0.000542 0.001061
2026-03-01 0.000024 0.000044 0.000080 0.000152 0.000292 0.000559 0.001122
2026-03-08 0.000023 0.000043 0.000080 0.000154 0.000303 0.000593 0.001219
2026-03-15 0.000022 0.000042 0.000079 0.000155 0.000311 0.000621 0.001306
2026-03-22 0.000020 0.000040 0.000077 0.000154 0.000315 0.000642 0.001381
2026-03-29 0.000020 0.000039 0.000077 0.000157 0.000326 0.000679 0.001492
2026-04-05 0.000019 0.000038 0.000076 0.000157 0.000333 0.000707 0.001588